Tyler Herro player props
MIL vs Toronto Raptors, Friday, November 6, 8:00 PM ET. G. Last 10 games: 29.5 minutes a game; last 5: 30.1; started 5 of the last 5.
Tonight's lines and hit rates
The line is tonight's consensus across the books we track; a hit is a game over the line.
| Prop | Line | Avg L10 | Median L10 | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | Season | vs TOR | Home | Starting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.5 | 19.8 | 22 | 4/5 | 6/10 | 10/20 | 6/8 | 0/2 | 5/10 | 6/10 |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | 5.4 | 5 | 3/5 | 6/10 | 11/20 | 5/8 | 1/2 | 6/10 | 6/10 |
| Assists | 3.5 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 1/5 | 5/10 | 13/20 | 3/8 | 2/2 | 6/10 | 5/10 |
| 3-pointers | 2.5 | 3.3 | 4 | 5/5 | 8/10 | 13/20 | 7/8 | 1/2 | 7/10 | 8/10 |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 29.5 | 29.5 | 28 | 3/5 | 5/10 | 10/20 | 5/8 | 0/2 | 4/10 | 5/10 |
Points: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 25, 21, 15, 23, 23, 13, 34, 24, 5, 15 (newest first). Average 19.8, median 22.
line 20.5
15 TOR
4/9
4/9
5 ATL
4/12
4/12
24 WAS
10/21
10/21
34 CHI
10/23
10/23
13 PHI
10/24
10/24
23 IND
10/26
10/26
23 HOU
10/28
10/28
15 CLE
10/31
10/31
21 MIN
11/2
11/2
25 BOS
11/4
11/4
| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 | 8/10 | 80% | 16/20 | 80% |
| Over 19.5 | 6/10 | 60% | 11/20 | 55% |
| Over 24.5 | 2/10 | 20% | 5/20 | 25% |
| Over 29.5 | 1/10 | 10% | 3/20 | 15% |
Rebounds: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 5, 6, 3, 3, 10, 6, 5, 2, 10, 4 (newest first). Average 5.4, median 5.
line 4.5
4 TOR
4/9
4/9
10 ATL
4/12
4/12
2 WAS
10/21
10/21
5 CHI
10/23
10/23
6 PHI
10/24
10/24
10 IND
10/26
10/26
3 HOU
10/28
10/28
3 CLE
10/31
10/31
6 MIN
11/2
11/2
5 BOS
11/4
11/4
| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 7/10 | 70% | 13/20 | 65% |
| Over 5.5 | 4/10 | 40% | 7/20 | 35% |
| Over 7.5 | 2/10 | 20% | 4/20 | 20% |
| Over 9.5 | 2/10 | 20% | 2/20 | 10% |
Assists: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 3, 3, 2, 0, 7, 3, 4, 9, 8, 4 (newest first). Average 4.3, median 3.5.
line 3.5
4 TOR
4/9
4/9
8 ATL
4/12
4/12
9 WAS
10/21
10/21
4 CHI
10/23
10/23
3 PHI
10/24
10/24
7 IND
10/26
10/26
0 HOU
10/28
10/28
2 CLE
10/31
10/31
3 MIN
11/2
11/2
3 BOS
11/4
11/4
| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 8/10 | 80% | 17/20 | 85% |
| Over 4.5 | 3/10 | 30% | 8/20 | 40% |
| Over 6.5 | 3/10 | 30% | 4/20 | 20% |
| Over 8.5 | 1/10 | 10% | 1/20 | 5% |
3-pointers: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 4, 4, 4, 4, 3, 1, 5, 4, 1, 3 (newest first). Average 3.3, median 4.
line 2.5
3 TOR
4/9
4/9
1 ATL
4/12
4/12
4 WAS
10/21
10/21
5 CHI
10/23
10/23
1 PHI
10/24
10/24
3 IND
10/26
10/26
4 HOU
10/28
10/28
4 CLE
10/31
10/31
4 MIN
11/2
11/2
4 BOS
11/4
11/4
| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 8/10 | 80% | 15/20 | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 8/10 | 80% | 13/20 | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 6/10 | 60% | 10/20 | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 1/10 | 10% | 2/20 | 10% |
Pts + Reb + Ast: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 33, 30, 20, 26, 40, 22, 43, 35, 23, 23 (newest first). Average 29.5, median 28.
line 29.5
23 TOR
4/9
4/9
23 ATL
4/12
4/12
35 WAS
10/21
10/21
43 CHI
10/23
10/23
22 PHI
10/24
10/24
40 IND
10/26
10/26
26 HOU
10/28
10/28
20 CLE
10/31
10/31
30 MIN
11/2
11/2
33 BOS
11/4
11/4
| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 | 10/10 | 100% | 19/20 | 95% |
| Over 24.5 | 6/10 | 60% | 14/20 | 70% |
| Over 29.5 | 5/10 | 50% | 10/20 | 50% |
| Over 34.5 | 3/10 | 30% | 6/20 | 30% |
Game log: last 20 games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | Started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at BOS | L 102-109 | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 33 | Yes | |
| at MIN | L 100-112 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 30 | Yes | |
| vs CLE | L 111-136 | 27 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 20 | Yes | |
| vs HOU | L 100-132 | 27 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26 | Yes | |
| vs IND | W 110-102 | 32 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 40 | Yes | |
| at PHI | L 116-127 | 31 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | Yes | |
| vs CHI | L 125-132 | 32 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 43 | Yes | |
| at WAS | L 116-128 | 32 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 35 | Yes | |
| vs ATL | W 143-117 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 23 | Yes | |
| at TOR | L 114-128 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | Yes | |
| at TOR | L 95-121 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 25 | Yes | |
| vs BOS | L 129-147 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 28 | Yes | |
| vs PHI | W 119-109 | 42 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 37 | Yes | |
| at IND | L 118-135 | 36 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 38 | Yes | |
| at CLE | L 128-149 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | Yes | |
| at CLE | W 120-103 | 30 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 24 | Yes | |
| vs SAS | L 111-136 | 26 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 | Yes | |
| at HOU | L 122-123 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 35 | Yes | |
| vs LAL | L 126-134 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34 | Yes | |
| at CHA | L 106-136 | 31 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 33 | Yes |
History against Toronto Raptors
| Date | Game | Result | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at TOR | L 114-128 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | |
| at TOR | L 95-121 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 25 |
Related: player props explained, implied probability, NBA odds.