Jeremiah Fears player props
NOP vs Minnesota Timberwolves, Friday, November 6, 8:00 PM ET. G. Last 10 games: 30.9 minutes a game; last 5: 31.2; started 5 of the last 5.
Tonight's lines and hit rates
The line is tonight's consensus across the books we track; a hit is a game over the line.
| Prop | Line | Avg L10 | Median L10 | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | Season | vs MIN | Home | Starting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 14.5 | 18.1 lifted | 15.5 | 3/5 | 5/10 | 10/20 | 3/8 | 3/4 | 5/10 | 5/10 |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 3/5 | 5/10 | 7/20 | 4/8 | 2/4 | 4/10 | 5/10 |
| Assists | 3.5 | 4.7 | 4 | 3/5 | 5/10 | 10/20 | 3/8 | 4/4 | 5/10 | 5/10 |
| 3-pointers | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1 | 1/5 | 2/10 | 6/20 | 1/8 | 1/4 | 2/10 | 2/10 |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 22.5 | 27.7 lifted | 25 | 4/5 | 6/10 | 11/20 | 4/8 | 3/4 | 5/10 | 6/10 |
Points: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 19, 12, 20, 22, 11, 10, 7, 8, 36, 36 (newest first). Average 18.1, median 15.5. One big game lifts the average: it sits well above the median.
4/10
4/12
10/21
10/23
10/24
10/28
10/29
10/31
11/2
11/4
| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 | 8/10 | 80% | 16/20 | 80% |
| Over 14.5 | 5/10 | 50% | 10/20 | 50% |
| Over 19.5 | 4/10 | 40% | 8/20 | 40% |
| Over 24.5 | 2/10 | 20% | 4/20 | 20% |
Rebounds: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 6, 4, 5, 8, 4, 6, 0, 3, 10, 3 (newest first). Average 4.9, median 4.5.
4/10
4/12
10/21
10/23
10/24
10/28
10/29
10/31
11/2
11/4
| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 7/10 | 70% | 10/20 | 50% |
| Over 5.5 | 4/10 | 40% | 5/20 | 25% |
| Over 7.5 | 2/10 | 20% | 3/20 | 15% |
| Over 9.5 | 1/10 | 10% | 1/20 | 5% |
Assists: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 2, 7, 7, 13, 3, 2, 1, 1, 5, 6 (newest first). Average 4.7, median 4.
4/10
4/12
10/21
10/23
10/24
10/28
10/29
10/31
11/2
11/4
| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 6/10 | 60% | 14/20 | 70% |
| Over 4.5 | 5/10 | 50% | 10/20 | 50% |
| Over 6.5 | 3/10 | 30% | 4/20 | 20% |
| Over 8.5 | 1/10 | 10% | 1/20 | 5% |
3-pointers: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 1, 0, 1, 3, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 3 (newest first). Average 1.1, median 1.
4/10
4/12
10/21
10/23
10/24
10/28
10/29
10/31
11/2
11/4
| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 7/10 | 70% | 15/20 | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 2/10 | 20% | 6/20 | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 2/10 | 20% | 5/20 | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 0/10 | 0% | 1/20 | 5% |
Pts + Reb + Ast: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 27, 23, 32, 43, 18, 18, 8, 12, 51, 45 (newest first). Average 27.7, median 25. One big game lifts the average: it sits well above the median.
4/10
4/12
10/21
10/23
10/24
10/28
10/29
10/31
11/2
11/4
| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 | 6/10 | 60% | 12/20 | 60% |
| Over 24.5 | 5/10 | 50% | 9/20 | 45% |
| Over 29.5 | 4/10 | 40% | 6/20 | 30% |
| Over 34.5 | 3/10 | 30% | 5/20 | 25% |
Game log: last 20 games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | Started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UTA | W 120-113 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 27 | Yes | |
| at MEM | W 135-134 | 38 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 23 | Yes | |
| vs ATL | W 121-99 | 31 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 32 | Yes | |
| vs SAC | W 132-120 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 43 | Yes | |
| vs DEN | L 91-104 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | Yes | |
| at DEN | L 135-141 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | Yes | |
| at UTA | L 119-120 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | Yes | |
| vs IND | L 120-123 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | Yes | |
| at MIN | L 126-132 | 41 | 36 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 51 | Yes | |
| at BOS | L 118-144 | 44 | 36 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 45 | Yes | |
| vs UTA | W 156-137 | 38 | 40 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 51 | Yes | |
| vs ORL | L 108-112 | 37 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 29 | Yes | |
| at SAC | L 113-117 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 42 | No | |
| at POR | L 106-118 | 26 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | No | |
| vs HOU | L 102-134 | 22 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19 | No | |
| at TOR | L 106-119 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | Yes | |
| at DET | L 108-129 | 27 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 21 | No | |
| at NYK | L 116-121 | 20 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 25 | No | |
| vs CLE | L 106-111 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | No | |
| vs LAC | W 105-99 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | No |
History against Minnesota Timberwolves
| Date | Game | Result | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at MIN | L 126-132 | 41 | 36 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 51 | |
| at MIN | W 119-115 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
| vs MIN | L 116-125 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 33 | |
| vs MIN | L 142-149 | 34 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 29 |
Related: player props explained, implied probability, NBA odds.