Airious Bailey player props
UTA at Dallas Mavericks, Friday, November 6, 8:00 PM ET. F. Last 10 games: 30.3 minutes a game; last 5: 34.0; started 5 of the last 5.
Tonight's lines and hit rates
The line is tonight's consensus across the books we track; a hit is a game over the line.
| Prop | Line | Avg L10 | Median L10 | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | Season | vs DAL | Away | Starting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12.5 | 13.8 | 15 | 3/5 | 6/10 | 15/20 | 4/8 | 2/3 | 7/10 | 7/10 |
| Rebounds | 5.5 | 7.1 | 6.5 | 4/5 | 7/10 | 13/20 | 6/8 | 1/3 | 4/10 | 7/10 |
| Assists | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 2/5 | 6/10 | 14/20 | 5/8 | 2/3 | 5/10 | 6/10 |
| 3-pointers | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 1/5 | 3/10 | 9/20 | 2/8 | 1/3 | 5/10 | 3/10 |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 20.5 | 22.8 lifted | 20.5 | 3/5 | 5/10 | 13/20 | 4/8 | 2/3 | 5/10 | 5/10 |
Points: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 15, 5, 9, 19, 17, 17, 6, 12, 15, 23 (newest first). Average 13.8, median 15.
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| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 | 7/10 | 70% | 17/20 | 85% |
| Over 14.5 | 6/10 | 60% | 13/20 | 65% |
| Over 19.5 | 1/10 | 10% | 5/20 | 25% |
| Over 24.5 | 0/10 | 0% | 3/20 | 15% |
Rebounds: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 5, 6, 7, 6, 10, 12, 7, 5, 3, 10 (newest first). Average 7.1, median 6.5.
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| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 9/10 | 90% | 17/20 | 85% |
| Over 5.5 | 7/10 | 70% | 13/20 | 65% |
| Over 7.5 | 3/10 | 30% | 4/20 | 20% |
| Over 9.5 | 3/10 | 30% | 3/20 | 15% |
Assists: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 1, 2, 1, 0, 3, 4, 2, 3, 1, 2 (newest first). Average 1.9, median 2.
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| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 3/10 | 30% | 8/20 | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 0/10 | 0% | 1/20 | 5% |
| Over 6.5 | 0/10 | 0% | 0/20 | 0% |
| Over 8.5 | 0/10 | 0% | 0/20 | 0% |
3-pointers: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 1, 2, 1, 3 (newest first). Average 1.5, median 1.
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| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 10/10 | 100% | 20/20 | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 3/10 | 30% | 9/20 | 45% |
| Over 2.5 | 2/10 | 20% | 6/20 | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 0/10 | 0% | 3/20 | 15% |
Pts + Reb + Ast: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines
Last 10: 21, 13, 17, 25, 30, 33, 15, 20, 19, 35 (newest first). Average 22.8, median 20.5. One big game lifts the average: it sits well above the median.
4/10
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| Line | Last 10 | Rate | Last 20 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 | 9/10 | 90% | 19/20 | 95% |
| Over 19.5 | 6/10 | 60% | 15/20 | 75% |
| Over 24.5 | 4/10 | 40% | 9/20 | 45% |
| Over 29.5 | 3/10 | 30% | 6/20 | 30% |
Game log: last 20 games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | Started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at NOP | L 113-120 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 | Yes | |
| at SAS | L 97-119 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | Yes | |
| vs POR | L 90-112 | 37 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | Yes | |
| vs SAS | L 111-117 | 40 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | Yes | |
| vs MEM | L 105-110 | 34 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30 | Yes | |
| vs LAL | L 123-132 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33 | Yes | |
| vs NOP | W 120-119 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | Yes | |
| at MEM | L 103-123 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | No | |
| at LAL | L 107-131 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | Yes | |
| vs MEM | W 147-101 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 35 | Yes | |
| at OKC | L 111-146 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | Yes | |
| at HOU | L 106-140 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 29 | Yes | |
| vs DEN | L 117-130 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | Yes | |
| vs CLE | L 113-122 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 26 | Yes | |
| at PHX | L 109-134 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | Yes | |
| at DEN | L 129-135 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | Yes | |
| vs WAS | L 110-133 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23 | Yes | |
| vs TOR | L 127-143 | 35 | 37 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 46 | Yes | |
| vs PHI | L 116-126 | 33 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 36 | Yes | |
| vs MIL | W 128-96 | 34 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 46 | Yes |
History against Dallas Mavericks
| Date | Game | Result | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at DAL | L 120-138 | 37 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27 | |
| at DAL | L 122-144 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23 | |
| vs DAL | W 140-133 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
Related: player props explained, implied probability, NBA odds.