NBA / Players / Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith player props

Not playing tonight. Next game: Saturday, November 7 vs Denver Nuggets. G-F. Last 10 games: 27.1 minutes a game; last 5: 25.9; started 5 of the last 5.

Updated Nov 6, 2026, 11:19 AM ET. Tonight's props cheat sheet · IND team page

Points: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines

Last 10: 16, 11, 9, 18, 13, 13, 9, 26, 14, 19 (newest first). Average 14.8, median 13.5. One big game lifts the average: it sits well above the median.

median 13.5

19 ORL
3/23

14 LAL
3/25

26 LAC
3/27

9 DAL
10/23

13 BKN
10/25

13 MIL
10/26

18 PHI
10/28

9 MIA
10/30

11 BKN
11/1

16 MEM
11/4

Oldest game on the left, newest on the right. Green: over the line; grey: not over.

Line	Last 10	Rate	Last 20	Rate
Over 9.5	8/10	80%	13/20	65%
Over 14.5	4/10	40%	7/20	35%
Over 19.5	1/10	10%	3/20	15%
Over 24.5	1/10	10%	3/20	15%

Rebounds: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines

Last 10: 1, 3, 3, 2, 0, 1, 4, 7, 3, 2 (newest first). Average 2.6, median 2.5.

median 2.5

2 ORL
3/23

3 LAL
3/25

7 LAC
3/27

4 DAL
10/23

1 BKN
10/25

0 MIL
10/26

2 PHI
10/28

3 MIA
10/30

3 BKN
11/1

1 MEM
11/4

Oldest game on the left, newest on the right. Green: over the line; grey: not over.

Line	Last 10	Rate	Last 20	Rate
Over 3.5	2/10	20%	3/20	15%
Over 5.5	1/10	10%	1/20	5%
Over 7.5	0/10	0%	0/20	0%
Over 9.5	0/10	0%	0/20	0%

Assists: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines

Last 10: 2, 4, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 1, 2 (newest first). Average 1.8, median 2.

median 2

2 ORL
3/23

1 LAL
3/25

2 LAC
3/27

1 DAL
10/23

2 BKN
10/25

1 MIL
10/26

1 PHI
10/28

2 MIA
10/30

4 BKN
11/1

2 MEM
11/4

Oldest game on the left, newest on the right. Green: over the line; grey: not over.

Line	Last 10	Rate	Last 20	Rate
Over 2.5	1/10	10%	2/20	10%
Over 4.5	0/10	0%	0/20	0%
Over 6.5	0/10	0%	0/20	0%
Over 8.5	0/10	0%	0/20	0%

3-pointers: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines

Last 10: 2, 0, 1, 3, 3, 2, 1, 4, 2, 5 (newest first). Average 2.3, median 2.

median 2

5 ORL
3/23

2 LAL
3/25

4 LAC
3/27

1 DAL
10/23

2 BKN
10/25

3 MIL
10/26

3 PHI
10/28

1 MIA
10/30

0 BKN
11/1

2 MEM
11/4

Oldest game on the left, newest on the right. Green: over the line; grey: not over.

Line	Last 10	Rate	Last 20	Rate
Over 0.5	9/10	90%	17/20	85%
Over 1.5	7/10	70%	10/20	50%
Over 2.5	4/10	40%	6/20	30%
Over 3.5	2/10	20%	4/20	20%

Pts + Reb + Ast: last 10 games and hit rate at common lines

Last 10: 19, 18, 14, 21, 14, 16, 14, 35, 18, 23 (newest first). Average 19.2, median 18.

median 18

23 ORL
3/23

18 LAL
3/25

35 LAC
3/27

14 DAL
10/23

16 BKN
10/25

14 MIL
10/26

21 PHI
10/28

14 MIA
10/30

18 BKN
11/1

19 MEM
11/4

Oldest game on the left, newest on the right. Green: over the line; grey: not over.

Line	Last 10	Rate	Last 20	Rate
Over 14.5	7/10	70%	12/20	60%
Over 19.5	3/10	30%	5/20	25%
Over 24.5	1/10	10%	3/20	15%
Over 29.5	1/10	10%	3/20	15%

Game log: last 20 games

Date	Opponent	Result	Min	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	PRA	Started
2026-11-04	at MEM	W 107-103	30	16	1	2	2	19	Yes
2026-11-01	vs BKN	L 90-98	30	11	3	4	0	18	Yes
2026-10-30	at MIA	L 125-145	21	9	3	2	1	14	Yes
2026-10-28	vs PHI	L 109-114	27	18	2	1	3	21	Yes
2026-10-26	at MIL	L 102-110	21	13	0	1	3	14	Yes
2026-10-25	at BKN	W 136-109	19	13	1	2	2	16	Yes
2026-10-23	vs DAL	L 105-121	20	9	4	1	1	14	No
2026-03-27	vs LAC	L 113-114	35	26	7	2	4	35	Yes
2026-03-25	vs LAL	L 130-137	32	14	3	1	2	18	Yes
2026-03-23	at ORL	W 128-126	35	19	2	2	5	23	Yes
2026-03-21	at SAS	L 119-134	25	5	2	0	1	7	Yes
2026-03-18	vs POR	L 119-127	26	15	3	1	1	19	Yes
2026-03-17	at NYK	L 110-136	24	14	1	0	4	15	Yes
2026-03-15	at MIL	L 123-134	29	32	2	1	7	35	Yes
2026-03-13	vs NYK	L 92-101	34	12	2	2	1	16	Yes
2026-03-10	at SAC	L 109-114	35	29	4	3	2	36	Yes
2026-03-08	at POR	L 111-131	25	9	1	2	1	12	Yes
2026-03-06	at LAL	L 117-128	23	7	3	1	1	11	Yes
2026-03-04	at LAC	L 107-130	20	2	3	2	0	7	Yes
2026-02-19	at WAS	L 105-112	15	3	2	1	0	6	Yes

The last 10 games reach back to 2026-03-23, so they include games from 2025-26.

History against Denver Nuggets

Date	Game	Result	Min	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	PRA
2025-11-08	at DEN	L 100-117	26	25	1	0	3	26

Source: NBA box scores and consensus prop lines, calculated by Oddsloft. Past results do not predict tonight's game. Research, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.