Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints
Week 7, Sunday, October 25 at 9:30 AM ET. Our model gives Saints a 42% chance, projecting NO +2.5. The market line is NO +3 with a total of 43.5.
42%
Saints win chance, our model
41%
Saints win chance, market (6 books)
+2 pts
Model minus market
A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. See expected value.
Line movement
| Opened | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread (NO) | +2.5 | +3 |
| Total | 44.5 | 43.5 |
Weather
Saint-Denis. No forecast yet. See the week's forecasts.
Team stats per game
| Record | Points | Allowed | Pass yds | Rush yds | Off EPA | Def EPA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | 4-2 | 22.8 | 21.3 | 247.8 | 99.2 | -0.06 | -0.06 |
| Saints | 2-4 | 25.3 | 29.7 | 239.7 | 97.3 | +0.03 | +0.10 |
Pittsburgh Steelers: recent games
| Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 26-19 | -2.5 covered | 37.5 over |
| vs Indianapolis Colts | W 34-22 | -3 covered | 41.5 over |
| at Cleveland Browns | L 24-27 | -2.5 missed | 38 over |
| vs Cincinnati Bengals | W 30-27 | +3 covered | 42.5 over |
| at New England Patriots | L 3-20 | – | – |
New Orleans Saints: recent games
| Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| at New York Giants | W 34-27 | -1.5 covered | 45.5 over |
| vs Minnesota Vikings | L 13-23 | +2.5 missed | 41.5 under |
| vs Atlanta Falcons | L 24-45 | -1 missed | 47.5 over |
| vs Las Vegas Raiders | L 27-35 | -3.5 missed | 43.5 over |
| at Baltimore Ravens | W 24-17 | – | – |
Injury report
| Team | Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | Ben Skowronek | Out | calf |
| PIT | Brandin Echols | Out | hamstring |
| PIT | Donte Kent | Out | – |
| PIT | Max Hurleman | Out | undisclosed |
| PIT | DeShon Elliott | Questionable | knee |
| PIT | Rico Dowdle | Questionable | knee |
| PIT | Cole Burgess | IR | – |
| PIT | Daequan Hardy | IR | undisclosed |
| NO | Cesar Ruiz | Out | – |
| NO | John Ridgeway III | Out | – |
| NO | Mike Reid | Out | – |
| NO | Nathan Shepherd | Out | – |
| NO | Treyton Welch | Out | – |
| NO | Tyree Wilson | Out | – |
| NO | Zach Wilson | Out | – |
| NO | Bryan Bresee | IR | – |
Previous meetings
| Season | Week | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 10 | NO at PIT | 10-20 |
This season: Saints vs Steelers
| Week | Date | Game | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Oct 25, 2026 | Steelers at Saints | Upcoming |
Team snapshots
| Team | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints | 2-4 | 152 | 178 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4-2 | 137 | 128 |