NFL / Matchups / Lions vs Vikings

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

Week 8, Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET. Our model gives Lions a 51% chance, projecting DET -0.2. The market line is DET -3 with a total of 47.

51%

Lions win chance, our model

59%

Lions win chance, market (4 books)

-8 pts

Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. See expected value.

Line movement

	Opened	Now
Spread (DET)	-3	-3
Total	47	47

Consensus of 4 sportsbooks. Read how lines move.

Weather

Detroit, MI. Roof: dome, so weather is not a factor. See the week's forecasts.

Team stats per game

	Record	Points	Allowed	Pass yds	Rush yds	Off EPA	Def EPA
Vikings	5-0	21.8 #22	12.8 #1	187.6	116.0	-0.09	-0.17
Lions	3-2	32.8 #1	29.6 #30	297.0	114.2	+0.27	+0.13

EPA is expected points added per play. For the defense, lower is better.

Minnesota Vikings: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
at New Orleans Saints	W 23-13	-2.5 covered	41.5 under
vs Miami Dolphins	W 15-10	-10 missed	38.5 under
at Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-16	-1.5 covered	42.5 under
at Chicago Bears	W 9-3	–	–
vs Green Bay Packers	W 39-22	–	–

Detroit Lions: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
at Arizona Cardinals	W 45-21	-5.5 covered	55 over
at Carolina Panthers	L 26-32	-4.5 missed	52 over
vs New York Jets	W 31-24	-7	49.5 over
at Buffalo Bills	L 31-41	–	–
vs New Orleans Saints	W 31-30	–	–

Injury report

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

Team	Player	Status	Injury
MIN	Donovan Jackson G	IR	knee
MIN	Jamal Adams LB	IR	–
MIN	Josh Oliver TE	IR	biceps
MIN	Nick Samac C	IR	knee
MIN	Tyler Batty LB	IR	knee
DET	Mason Miller G	Out	undisclosed
DET	Avonte Maddox CB	IR	foot
DET	Ben Bartch G	IR	foot
DET	Damone Clark LB	IR	undisclosed
DET	Devin White LB	IR	forearm
DET	Giovanni Manu OT	NFI-R	knee
DET	Isiah Pacheco RB	IR	back
DET	Kendrick Law WR	IR	–

Previous meetings

Season	Week	Game	Score
2025	17	DET at MIN	10-23
2025	9	MIN at DET	27-24
2024	18	MIN at DET	9-31
2024	7	DET at MIN	31-29
2023	18	MIN at DET	20-30

This season: Lions vs Vikings

Week	Date	Game	Result
8	Nov 1, 2026	Vikings at Lions	Upcoming
15	Dec 20, 2026	Lions at Vikings	Upcoming

Team snapshots

Team	Record	PF	PA
Detroit Lions	3-2	164	148
Minnesota Vikings	5-0	109	64

point spreads · this week's weather · compare sportsbooks

Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 10:55 AM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.