Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
Week 8, Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET. Our model gives Lions a 51% chance, projecting DET -0.2. The market line is DET -3 with a total of 47.
51%
Lions win chance, our model
59%
Lions win chance, market (4 books)
-8 pts
Model minus market
A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. See expected value.
Line movement
| Opened | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread (DET) | -3 | -3 |
| Total | 47 | 47 |
Weather
Detroit, MI. Roof: dome, so weather is not a factor. See the week's forecasts.
Team stats per game
| Record | Points | Allowed | Pass yds | Rush yds | Off EPA | Def EPA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | 5-0 | 21.8 | 12.8 | 187.6 | 116.0 | -0.09 | -0.17 |
| Lions | 3-2 | 32.8 | 29.6 | 297.0 | 114.2 | +0.27 | +0.13 |
Minnesota Vikings: recent games
| Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| at New Orleans Saints | W 23-13 | -2.5 covered | 41.5 under |
| vs Miami Dolphins | W 15-10 | -10 missed | 38.5 under |
| at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 23-16 | -1.5 covered | 42.5 under |
| at Chicago Bears | W 9-3 | – | – |
| vs Green Bay Packers | W 39-22 | – | – |
Detroit Lions: recent games
| Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Arizona Cardinals | W 45-21 | -5.5 covered | 55 over |
| at Carolina Panthers | L 26-32 | -4.5 missed | 52 over |
| vs New York Jets | W 31-24 | -7 | 49.5 over |
| at Buffalo Bills | L 31-41 | – | – |
| vs New Orleans Saints | W 31-30 | – | – |
Injury report
| Team | Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | Donovan Jackson | IR | knee |
| MIN | Jamal Adams | IR | – |
| MIN | Josh Oliver | IR | biceps |
| MIN | Nick Samac | IR | knee |
| MIN | Tyler Batty | IR | knee |
| DET | Mason Miller | Out | undisclosed |
| DET | Avonte Maddox | IR | foot |
| DET | Ben Bartch | IR | foot |
| DET | Damone Clark | IR | undisclosed |
| DET | Devin White | IR | forearm |
| DET | Giovanni Manu | NFI-R | knee |
| DET | Isiah Pacheco | IR | back |
| DET | Kendrick Law | IR | – |
Previous meetings
| Season | Week | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | DET at MIN | 10-23 |
| 2025 | 9 | MIN at DET | 27-24 |
| 2024 | 18 | MIN at DET | 9-31 |
| 2024 | 7 | DET at MIN | 31-29 |
| 2023 | 18 | MIN at DET | 20-30 |
This season: Lions vs Vikings
| Week | Date | Game | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nov 1, 2026 | Vikings at Lions | Upcoming |
| 15 | Dec 20, 2026 | Lions at Vikings | Upcoming |
Team snapshots
| Team | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | 3-2 | 164 | 148 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5-0 | 109 | 64 |