NFL / Matchups / Dolphins vs Jets

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

Week 7, Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM ET. Our model gives Jets a 64% chance, projecting NYJ -4.7. The market line is NYJ -3.5 with a total of 39.5.

64%

Jets win chance, our model

65%

Jets win chance, market (6 books)

-1 pts

Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. See expected value.

Line movement

	Opened	Now
Spread (NYJ)	-4.5	-3.5
Total	38.5	39.5

Consensus of 6 sportsbooks. Read how lines move.

Weather

East Rutherford, NJ. 65°F, clear, wind 2 mph W. See the week's forecasts.

Team stats per game

	Record	Points	Allowed	Pass yds	Rush yds	Off EPA	Def EPA
Dolphins	0-5	14.0 #32	26.4 #24	169.8	126.6	-0.13	+0.01
Jets	2-4	18.7 #27	20.3 #5	222.7	94.5	-0.03	-0.01

EPA is expected points added per play. For the defense, lower is better.

Miami Dolphins: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
vs Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-31	+7	44.5 over
at Minnesota Vikings	L 10-15	+10 covered	38.5 under
vs Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-24	+9.5 missed	45 under
at San Francisco 49ers	L 13-35	–	–
at Las Vegas Raiders	L 13-27	–	–

New York Jets: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
at New England Patriots	L 19-26	+7	42.5 over
vs Cleveland Browns	W 17-12	-2.5 covered	38.5 under
at Chicago Bears	L 12-23	+3.5 missed	43.5 under
at Detroit Lions	L 24-31	+7	49.5 over
vs Green Bay Packers	L 17-20	–	–

Injury report

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

Team	Player	Status	Injury
MIA	Reese Taylor CB	Out	quadriceps
MIA	Robert Beal Jr. DE	Doubtful	–
MIA	Willie Gay Jr. LB	Questionable	–
MIA	Cole Turner TE	IR	undisclosed
MIA	Darrell Baker Jr. CB	PUP-R	undisclosed
MIA	De'Von Achane RB	IR	knee
MIA	Rene Konga DT	IR	–
MIA	Ronnie Harrison Jr. LB	IR	hamstring
NYJ	Joseph Ossai DE	Out	ankle
NYJ	Max Mitchell OT	Out	concussion
NYJ	Breece Hall RB	Questionable	quadriceps
NYJ	Caullin Lacy WR	Questionable	–
NYJ	Dylan Parham G	Questionable	knee
NYJ	Kene Nwangwu RB	Questionable	knee
NYJ	Anez Cooper G	IR-R	shoulder
NYJ	Arian Smith WR	IR	knee

Previous meetings

Season	Week	Game	Score
2025	14	MIA at NYJ	34-10
2025	4	NYJ at MIA	21-27
2024	18	MIA at NYJ	20-32
2024	14	NYJ at MIA	26-32
2023	15	NYJ at MIA	0-30

This season: Dolphins vs Jets

Week	Date	Game	Result
7	Oct 25, 2026	Dolphins at Jets	Upcoming
12	Nov 29, 2026	Jets at Dolphins	Upcoming

Team snapshots

Team	Record	PF	PA
Miami Dolphins	0-5	70	132
New York Jets	2-4	112	122

point spreads · this week's weather · compare sportsbooks

Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 9:18 AM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.