NFL / Matchups / Buccaneers vs Panthers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers

Week 7, Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM ET. Our model gives Panthers a 67% chance, projecting CAR -5.8. The market line is CAR -3 with a total of 44.5.

67%

Panthers win chance, our model

59%

Panthers win chance, market (6 books)

+9 pts

Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. See expected value.

Line movement

	Opened	Now
Spread (CAR)	-3	-3
Total	44.5	44.5

Consensus of 6 sportsbooks. Read how lines move.

Weather

Charlotte, NC. 67°F, clear, wind 10 mph NE. See the week's forecasts.

Team stats per game

	Record	Points	Allowed	Pass yds	Rush yds	Off EPA	Def EPA
Buccaneers	1-5	19.8 #25	23.0 #18	186.0	127.8	-0.11	-0.08
Panthers	3-2	29.2 #4	24.6 #21	309.6	110.0	+0.07	+0.02

EPA is expected points added per play. For the defense, lower is better.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
vs Pittsburgh Steelers	L 19-26	+2.5 missed	37.5 over
at Dallas Cowboys	W 24-16	+8.5 covered	48.5 under
vs Green Bay Packers	L 14-17	+2.5 missed	39 under
vs Minnesota Vikings	L 16-23	+1.5 missed	42.5 under
vs Cleveland Browns	L 19-23	–	–

Carolina Panthers: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
at Philadelphia Eagles	W 25-14	-3 covered	39.5 under
vs Detroit Lions	W 32-26	+4.5 covered	52 over
at Cleveland Browns	L 18-21	-2.5 missed	41.5 under
at Atlanta Falcons	W 34-3	–	–
vs Chicago Bears	L 37-59	–	–

Injury report

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

Team	Player	Status	Injury
TB	Antoine Winfield Jr. S	Out	ribs
TB	Emeka Egbuka WR	Out	concussion
TB	Luke Goedeke OT	Out	calf
TB	Baker Mayfield QB	Questionable	right thumb
TB	Christian Rozeboom LB	IR	finger
TB	Jalen McMillan WR	IR	knee
TB	Josh Hayes CB	IR-R	–
TB	Mohamed Kamara LB	IR	knee
CAR	Jaelan Phillips LB	Out	hamstring
CAR	Monroe Freeling OT	Questionable	–
CAR	Brady Christensen G	IR	hamstring
CAR	Cam Jackson DT	IR	shoulder
CAR	Chris Brazzell II WR	IR	–
CAR	Ikem Ekwonu OT	PUP-R	knee
CAR	Jaycee Horn CB	IR	quadriceps
CAR	Jonathon Brooks RB	IR	core

Previous meetings

Season	Week	Game	Score
2025	18	CAR at TB	14-16
2025	16	TB at CAR	20-23
2024	17	CAR at TB	14-48
2024	13	TB at CAR	26-23
2023	18	TB at CAR	9-0

This season: Buccaneers vs Panthers

Week	Date	Game	Result
7	Oct 25, 2026	Buccaneers at Panthers	Upcoming
12	Nov 30, 2026	Panthers at Buccaneers	Upcoming

Team snapshots

Team	Record	PF	PA
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-5	119	138
Carolina Panthers	3-2	146	123

point spreads · this week's weather · compare sportsbooks

Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 9:18 AM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.