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NFL / Matchups / Browns vs Steelers

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 8, Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET. Our model gives Steelers a 64% chance, projecting PIT -4.7. The market line is PIT -4.5 with a total of 38.5.

64%
Steelers win chance, our model
65%
Steelers win chance, market (4 books)
-1 pts
Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. See expected value.

Line movement

OpenedNow
Spread (PIT)-4.5-4.5
Total38.538.5

Consensus of 4 sportsbooks. Read how lines move.

Weather

Pittsburgh, PA. No forecast yet. See the week's forecasts.

Team stats per game

RecordPointsAllowedPass ydsRush ydsOff EPADef EPA
Browns4-217.7 #2920.3 #7195.794.0-0.10-0.06
Steelers4-222.8 #1821.3 #12247.899.2-0.06-0.06

EPA is expected points added per play. For the defense, lower is better.

Cleveland Browns: recent games

OpponentResultSpreadTotal
vs Baltimore Ravens W 13-10 +3 covered 39.5 under
at New York Jets L 12-17 +2.5 missed 38.5 under
vs Pittsburgh Steelers W 27-24 +2.5 covered 38 over
vs Carolina Panthers W 21-18 +2.5 covered 41.5 under
at Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 23-19 – –

Pittsburgh Steelers: recent games

OpponentResultSpreadTotal
at Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 26-19 -2.5 covered 37.5 over
vs Indianapolis Colts W 34-22 -3 covered 41.5 over
at Cleveland Browns L 24-27 -2.5 missed 38 over
vs Cincinnati Bengals W 30-27 +3 covered 42.5 over
at New England Patriots L 3-20 – –

Injury report

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

TeamPlayerStatusInjury
CLEBub Means WROutknee
CLEJoe Royer TEOut–
CLEMike Hall Jr. DTOutankle
CLENathaniel Watson LBOutknee
CLEDenzel Ward CBQuestionablehand
CLEQuincy Williams LBQuestionableneck
CLEAlex Wright DEIR–
CLEDamarri Mathis CBIR–
PITBen Skowronek WROut–
PITBrandin Echols CBOut–
PITDonte Kent CBOut–
PITDrew Allar QBOut–
PITEli Heidenreich RBOut–
PITMax Hurleman RBOutundisclosed
PITTerell Smith CBOut–
PITWill Howard QBOut–

Previous meetings

SeasonWeekGameScore
20264PIT at CLE24-27
202517PIT at CLE6-13
20256CLE at PIT9-23
202414CLE at PIT14-27
202412PIT at CLE19-24

This season: Browns vs Steelers

WeekDateGameResult
4Oct 1, 2026 Steelers at Browns Browns 27-24
8Nov 1, 2026 Browns at Steelers Upcoming

Team snapshots

TeamRecordPFPA
Cleveland Browns4-2106122
Pittsburgh Steelers4-2137128

point spreads · this week's weather · compare sportsbooks

Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 10:55 AM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.