NFL / Matchups / 49ers vs Falcons

San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons

Week 7, Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM ET. Our model gives Falcons a 34% chance, projecting ATL +5.4. The market line is ATL +2.5 with a total of 50.5.

34%

Falcons win chance, our model

43%

Falcons win chance, market (6 books)

-9 pts

Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. See expected value.

Line movement

	Opened	Now
Spread (ATL)	+4.5	+2.5
Total	49.5	50.5

Consensus of 6 sportsbooks. Read how lines move.

Weather

Atlanta, GA. Retractable roof: weather matters only if the roof is open. See the week's forecasts.

Team stats per game

	Record	Points	Allowed	Pass yds	Rush yds	Off EPA	Def EPA
49ers	6-0	29.5 #3	18.3 #4	243.3	128.2	+0.14	-0.02
Falcons	2-4	23.7 #16	25.5 #23	211.0	149.5	-0.00	-0.01

EPA is expected points added per play. For the defense, lower is better.

San Francisco 49ers: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
vs Washington Commanders	W 23-17	-7.5 missed	51.5 under
at Seattle Seahawks	W 32-29	+3 covered	46.5 over
vs Denver Broncos	W 24-14	-3 covered	48.5 under
vs Arizona Cardinals	W 36-30	-7.5 missed	48.5 over
vs Miami Dolphins	W 35-13	–	–

Atlanta Falcons: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
vs Chicago Bears	L 23-31	+1.5 missed	51.5 over
vs Baltimore Ravens	L 23-30	-3.5 missed	43.5 over
at New Orleans Saints	W 45-24	+1 covered	47.5 over
at Green Bay Packers	W 35-14	–	–
vs Carolina Panthers	L 3-34	–	–

Injury report

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

Team	Player	Status	Injury
SF	Brandon Aiyuk WR	Out	–
SF	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR	Out	hamstring
SF	Garret Wallow LB	Out	hamstring
SF	Luke Gifford LB	Out	groin
SF	Marques Sigle S	Out	ankle
SF	Mike Evans WR	Out	achilles
SF	Nick Bosa DE	Out	knee
SF	Brett Toth C	Questionable	concussion
ATL	Anterio Thompson DT	Out	–
ATL	Billy Bowman Jr. CB	Out	hamstring
ATL	Brian Robinson Jr. RB	Out	hamstring
ATL	Divine Deablo LB	Out	forearm
ATL	Avieon Terrell CB	Questionable	back
ATL	C.J. Henderson CB	Questionable	groin
ATL	Gervon Dexter Sr. DT	Questionable	–
ATL	Kendal Daniels LB	Questionable	neck

Previous meetings

Season	Week	Game	Score
2025	7	ATL at SF	10-20
2022	6	SF at ATL	14-28
2021	15	ATL at SF	13-31

This season: 49ers vs Falcons

Week	Date	Game	Result
7	Oct 25, 2026	49ers at Falcons	Upcoming

Team snapshots

Team	Record	PF	PA
San Francisco 49ers	6-0	177	110
Atlanta Falcons	2-4	142	153

point spreads · this week's weather · compare sportsbooks

Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 9:18 AM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.