Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets
Next meeting: Sunday, October 25 at 6:00 PM ET. Our model gives Nets a 54% chance, projecting BKN -1.4. The sportsbook market, with the vig removed, has them at 30%.
54%
Nets win chance, our model
30%
Nets win chance, market (10 books)
+24 pts
Model minus market
A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. The market already prices injuries and news. See expected value.
Team ratings (last season)
| Record | Off rating | Def rating | Net | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | 19-63 | 109.0 | 116.7 | -7.7 | 102.7 |
| Nets | 20-62 | 106.9 | 116.9 | -10.1 | 98.8 |
Indiana Pacers: recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | vs Dallas Mavericks | L 105-121 | -7.5 missed | 242.5 under |
| 2026-10-21 | at New Orleans Pelicans | W 123-120 | -2.5 covered | 238.5 over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs Detroit Pistons | L 121-133 | +16.0 covered | 231.5 over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs Philadelphia 76ers | L 94-105 | +14.5 covered | 234.5 under |
| 2026-04-09 | at Brooklyn Nets | W 123-94 | -3.0 covered | 225.5 under |
Brooklyn Nets: recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | at Cleveland Cavaliers | L 121-125 | +11.5 covered | 228.5 over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Charlotte Hornets | L 103-110 | +1.5 missed | 219.5 under |
| 2026-04-12 | at Toronto Raptors | L 101-136 | +24.0 missed | 219.5 over |
| 2026-04-10 | at Milwaukee Bucks | L 108-125 | +10.5 missed | 218 over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs Indiana Pacers | L 94-123 | +3.0 missed | 225.5 under |
Injuries and absences
| Team | Player | Status | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND | Jalen Slawson | probable | – |
| IND | Aaron Nesmith | probable | 2026-10-25 |
| IND | T.J. McConnell | out | 2026-10-26 |
| IND | Johnny Furphy | out | 2027-01-02 |
| IND | Ben Sheppard | out | 2026-12-01 |
| IND | Braden Smith | doubtful | – |
| IND | Kobe Brown | probable | – |
| BKN | Mikel Brown Jr. | out | 2026-10-27 |
| BKN | Tyler Bilodeau | out | 2026-10-25 |
Team leaders (last season)
| Team | Stat | Player | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND | Points | Pascal Siakam | 24.0 |
| IND | Rebounds | Ivica Zubac | 10.6 |
| IND | Assists | Andrew Nembhard | 7.7 |
| BKN | Points | Michael Porter Jr. | 24.2 |
| BKN | Rebounds | Michael Porter Jr. | 7.1 |
| BKN | Assists | Julius Randle | 5.0 |
Season series, Nets vs Pacers
| Date | Game | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pacers at Nets | Upcoming |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Nets at Pacers | Upcoming |
| Jan 11, 2027 | Nets at Pacers | Upcoming |
| Mar 15, 2027 | Pacers at Nets | Upcoming |
Team snapshots
| Team | Record | PPG | Opp PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn Nets | 0-2 | 112.0 | 117.5 |
| Indiana Pacers | 1-1 | 114.0 | 120.5 |