NBA / Matchups / Knicks vs Magic

Orlando Magic at New York Knicks

Next meeting: Sunday, October 25 at 7:00 PM ET. Our model gives Knicks a 59% chance, projecting NYK -2.9. The sportsbook market, with the vig removed, has them at 72%.

59%

Knicks win chance, our model

72%

Knicks win chance, market (10 books)

-12 pts

Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. The market already prices injuries and news. See expected value.

Team ratings (last season)

	Record	Off rating	Def rating	Net	Pace
Magic	45-37	112.6 #19	112.0 #12	0.6	102.0 #12
Knicks	53-29	117.5 #3	111.1 #7	6.4	98.7 #27

Ratings are points per 100 possessions. A lower defensive rating is better. Rank in the league next to each number.

Orlando Magic: recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
2026-10-23	vs Minnesota Timberwolves	L 93-115	-1.5 missed	234.5 under
2026-10-21	vs Atlanta Hawks	L 125-132	-2.5 missed	234.5 over
2026-05-03	at Detroit Pistons	L 94-116	+8.5 missed	201 over
2026-05-01	vs Detroit Pistons	L 79-93	+3.5 missed	210.5 under
2026-04-29	at Detroit Pistons	L 109-116	+11.0 covered	211 over

New York Knicks: recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
2026-10-23	at Boston Celtics	L 103-107	+2.5 missed	220.5 under
2026-10-20	vs Philadelphia 76ers	L 100-106	-4.5 missed	231.5 under
2026-06-13	at San Antonio Spurs	W 94-90	+5.5 covered	215.5 under
2026-06-10	vs San Antonio Spurs	W 107-106	-2.5 missed	216.5 under
2026-06-08	vs San Antonio Spurs	L 111-115	-1.5 missed	215.5 over

Injuries and absences

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

Team	Player	Status	Expected return
ORL	Anthony Black G	questionable	2026-10-25
ORL	Paolo Banchero F	out	2026-11-22
ORL	Jonathan Isaac F	out	2026-10-28
ORL	Noah Penda G-F	out	2026-11-18
ORL	Izaiyah Nelson F	out	2026-11-18
NYK	Jose Alvarado G	questionable	2026-10-25

Team leaders (last season)

Team	Stat	Player	Per game
ORL	Points	Paolo Banchero (out)	22.2
ORL	Rebounds	Nikola Vucevic	8.4
ORL	Assists	Jalen Suggs	5.5
NYK	Points	Jalen Brunson	26.0
NYK	Rebounds	Karl-Anthony Towns	11.9
NYK	Assists	Jalen Brunson	6.8

Season series, Knicks vs Magic

Date	Game	Result
Oct 25, 2026	Magic at Knicks	Upcoming
Mar 28, 2027	Knicks at Magic	Upcoming
Mar 30, 2027	Knicks at Magic	Upcoming

Team snapshots

Team	Record	PPG	Opp PPG
New York Knicks	0-2	101.5	106.5
Orlando Magic	0-2	109.0	123.5

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Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 10:30 AM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.