NBA / Matchups / Heat vs Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat
Next meeting: Monday, October 26 at 7:30 PM ET. Our model gives Heat a 75% chance, projecting MIA -8.5.
75%
Heat win chance, our model
Team ratings (last season)
| Record | Off rating | Def rating | Net | Pace |
|---|
| Mavericks | 26-56 | 109.2 #27 | 114.5 #20 | -5.3 | 103.6 #4 |
| Heat | 43-39 | 114.5 #13 | 112.3 #14 | 2.2 | 105.4 #1 |
Ratings are points per 100 possessions. A lower defensive rating is better. Rank in the league next to each number.
Dallas Mavericks: recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs San Antonio Spurs | L 106-122 | +14.5 missed | 229.5 under |
| 2026-10-23 | at Indiana Pacers | W 121-105 | +7.5 covered | 242.5 under |
| 2026-10-21 | at Houston Rockets | L 110-128 | +10.5 missed | 230.5 over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs Chicago Bulls | W 149-128 | -5.0 covered | 249.5 over |
| 2026-04-10 | at San Antonio Spurs | L 120-139 | +18.5 missed | 236.5 over |
Miami Heat: recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|
| 2026-10-24 | at Charlotte Hornets | L 110-115 | -4.5 missed | 227.5 under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs Detroit Pistons | L 111-128 | +1.5 missed | 234.5 over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Minnesota Timberwolves | L 106-131 | -1.5 missed | 240.5 under |
| 2026-04-14 | at Charlotte Hornets | L 126-127 | +6.0 covered | 228 over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs Atlanta Hawks | W 143-117 | -10.5 covered | 240.5 over |
Injuries and absences
Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.
| Team | Player | Status | Expected return |
|---|
| DAL | Kyrie Irving G | day-to-day | 2026-10-26 |
| DAL | Cooper Flagg F | out | 2026-11-02 |
| DAL | Dereck Lively II C | out | 2026-10-28 |
| DAL | Santi Aldama F | out | 2026-10-28 |
| DAL | Tarik Biberovic F | out | 2026-11-02 |
| DAL | Caleb Martin F | out | 2026-11-02 |
Team leaders (last season)
| Team | Stat | Player | Per game |
|---|
| DAL | Points | Cooper Flagg (out) | 21.0 |
| DAL | Rebounds | P.J. Washington | 7.0 |
| DAL | Assists | Cooper Flagg (out) | 4.5 |
| MIA | Points | Giannis Antetokounmpo | 27.6 |
| MIA | Rebounds | Bam Adebayo | 10.0 |
| MIA | Assists | Davion Mitchell | 6.5 |
Season series, Heat vs Mavericks
| Date | Game | Result |
|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Mavericks at Heat | Upcoming |
| Dec 29, 2026 | Heat at Mavericks | Upcoming |
Team snapshots
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Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 10:55 AM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.