NBA / Matchups / Grizzlies vs Kings

Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings

Next meeting: Sunday, October 25 at 9:00 PM ET. Our model gives Kings a 44% chance, projecting SAC +1.9. The sportsbook market, with the vig removed, has them at 40%.

44%

Kings win chance, our model

40%

Kings win chance, market (10 books)

+4 pts

Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. The market already prices injuries and news. See expected value.

Team ratings (last season)

	Record	Off rating	Def rating	Net	Pace
Grizzlies	25-57	110.4 #25	116.2 #23	-5.8	103.6 #5
Kings	22-60	109.3 #26	119.1 #28	-9.8	101.1 #17

Ratings are points per 100 possessions. A lower defensive rating is better. Rank in the league next to each number.

Memphis Grizzlies: recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
2026-10-23	at Golden State Warriors	W 111-108	+4.5 covered	236.5 under
2026-10-21	vs Utah Jazz	W 123-103	-1.5 covered	241.5 under
2026-04-12	at Houston Rockets	L 101-132	+14.5 missed	230.5 over
2026-04-10	at Utah Jazz	L 101-147	+4.5 missed	248 push
2026-04-08	at Denver Nuggets	L 119-136	+23.5 covered	247.5 over

Sacramento Kings: recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
2026-10-23	vs Portland Trail Blazers	L 120-128	+10.5 covered	232.5 over
2026-10-21	at LA Clippers	L 96-121	+5.5 missed	226.5 under
2026-04-12	at Portland Trail Blazers	L 110-122	+19.0 covered	226.5 over
2026-04-10	vs Golden State Warriors	W 124-118	+11.0 covered	228.5 over
2026-04-07	at Golden State Warriors	L 105-110	+14.5 covered	233.5 under

Injuries and absences

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

Team	Player	Status	Expected return
MEM	Cedric Coward G	questionable	2026-10-25
MEM	Zach Edey C	out	2026-10-26
SAC	Keegan Murray F	questionable	2026-10-25
SAC	Dylan Cardwell C	out	2026-11-02
SAC	Ben Simmons G-F	out	2027-10-01
SAC	Maxime Raynaud C	out	2026-11-02

Team leaders (last season)

Team	Stat	Player	Per game
MEM	Points	Jerami Grant	18.6
MEM	Rebounds	Cedric Coward (questionable)	5.9
MEM	Assists	Cam Spencer	5.6
SAC	Points	Zach LaVine	19.2
SAC	Rebounds	Dylan Cardwell (out)	7.5
SAC	Assists	Malik Monk	3.0

Season series, Grizzlies vs Kings

Date	Game	Result
Oct 25, 2026	Grizzlies at Kings	Upcoming
Oct 31, 2026	Kings at Grizzlies	Upcoming
Feb 27, 2027	Kings at Grizzlies	Upcoming

Team snapshots

Team	Record	PPG	Opp PPG
Memphis Grizzlies	2-0	117.0	105.5
Sacramento Kings	0-2	108.0	124.5

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Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 10:55 AM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.